UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Saturday, September 9, 2023·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Sean Strickland won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Strickland 22%78% Adesanya
STRONGMarket: 17% (+4.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -355(favors Adesanya)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Strickland)
HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Volkov won by Submission (R2)
Volkov 79%21% Tuivasa
STRONGMarket: 68% (+10.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Volkov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tuivasa)
FlyweightHIT
Manel Kape won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kape 57%43% Santos
LEAN
→Elo gap: +240(favors Kape)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Kape)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Kape)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Tafa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tafa 63%37% Lane
LEANMarket: 66% (-2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +128(favors Tafa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Lane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lane)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Tyson Pedro won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pedro 46%54% Turkalj
TOSS-UPMarket: 49% (-3.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +83(favors Pedro)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Pedro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Turkalj)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Ulberg won by Submission (R3)
Ulberg 61%39% Jung
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Ulberg)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Ulberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Jung)
FeatherweightHIT
Chepe Mariscal won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mariscal 59%41% Jenkins
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Jenkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Mariscal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Mariscal)
LightweightHIT
Jamie Mullarkey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mullarkey 78%22% Makdessi
STRONGMarket: 69% (+8.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Makdessi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Mullarkey)
LightweightHIT
Nasrat Haqparast won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Haqparast 61%39% Quinones
LEAN
→Elo gap: +213(favors Haqparast)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.9(favors Haqparast)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Haqparast)
WelterweightHIT
Charles Radtke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Radtke 56%44% Diamond
LEAN
→Elo gap: +161(favors Radtke)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Diamond)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Diamond)
FeatherweightMISS
Gabriel Miranda won by Submission (R1)
Miranda 35%65% Young
LEANMarket: 40% (-4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +46(favors Miranda)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Miranda)
WelterweightHIT
Kevin Jousset won by Submission (R1)
Jousset 63%37% Crosbie
LEANMarket: 60% (+3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Crosbie)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Crosbie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Crosbie)