UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Saturday, August 5, 2023·Nashville, Tennessee, USA·12 fights
Model: 6/12(50%)
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Main Card
Catch WeightHIT
Cory Sandhagen won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Sandhagen 76%24% Font
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
STRONGMarket: 76% (-0.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +172(favors Sandhagen)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Sandhagen)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tatiana Suarez won by Submission (R2)
Suarez 85%15% Andrade
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+8.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +188(favors Suarez)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.5(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.2(favors Suarez)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Dustin Jacoby won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jacoby 41%59% Nzechukwu
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEANMarket: 40% (+0.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -61(favors Nzechukwu)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Jacoby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Nzechukwu)
FeatherweightHIT
Diego Lopes won by Submission (R1)
Lopes 53%47% Tucker
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-7.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -299(favors Tucker)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Tucker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Tucker)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tanner Boser won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Boser 60%40% Camur
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
LEANMarket: 56% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +182(favors Boser)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Camur)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Camur)
LightweightMISS
Ludovit Klein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Klein 28%72% Bahamondes
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (-4.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -335(favors Bahamondes)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Bahamondes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Klein)
Prelims
BantamweightHIT
Kyler Phillips won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Phillips 67%33% Barcelos
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+2.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +92(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Phillips)
WelterweightMISS
Carlston Harris won by Submission (R3)
Harris 49%51% Wells
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+1.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -234(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Harris)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Wells)
FeatherweightMISS
Billy Quarantillo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Quarantillo 33%67% Jackson
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (-27.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Quarantillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Jackson)
FlyweightMISS
Cody Durden won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Durden 30%70% Hadley
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENTMarket: 35% (-5.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -123(favors Hadley)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Hadley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Durden)
FeatherweightHIT
Sean Woodson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Woodson 58%42% Buzukja
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 63% (-5.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +68(favors Woodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.1(favors Woodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Buzukja)
FlyweightMISS
Asu Almabayev won by Submission (R2)
Almabayev 41%59% Osbourne
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Osbourne)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Osbourne)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Osbourne)