UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Saturday, July 15, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 11/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Bantamweight
Holm 56%44% Silva
LEANMarket: 61% (-4.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Holm)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Holm)
WelterweightHIT
Jack Della Maddalena won by Decision - Split (R3)
Maddalena 88%12% Hafez
STRONGMarket: 84% (+4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +516(favors Maddalena)
→Striking volume advantage: +9.7(favors Maddalena)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hafez)
LightweightHIT
Francisco Prado won by KO/TKO (R1)
Prado 54%46% Azaitar
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -158(favors Azaitar)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Azaitar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Azaitar)
MiddleweightHIT
JunYong Park won by Submission (R2)
Park 54%46% Duraev
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +154(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Duraev)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dumont 57%43% Chandler
LEANMarket: 57% (-0.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +157(favors Dumont)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.9(favors Chandler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Dumont)
LightweightHIT
Nazim Sadykhov won by Submission (R2)
Sadykhov 54%46% McKinney
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-5.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +97(favors Sadykhov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Sadykhov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors McKinney)
FeatherweightHIT
Melsik Baghdasaryan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Baghdasaryan 51%49% Lutz
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +138(favors Baghdasaryan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Baghdasaryan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Lutz)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Viktoriia Dudakova won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dudakova 60%40% Nunes
LEAN
→Elo gap: +251(favors Dudakova)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nunes)
FeatherweightHIT
Melquizael Costa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Costa 71%29% Lingo
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -44(favors Lingo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Lingo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Lingo)
LightweightHIT
Evan Elder won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elder 73%27% Valdez
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +15(favors Elder)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Elder)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Elder)
FlyweightHIT
Azat Maksum won by Decision - Split (R3)
Maksum 86%14% Nam
STRONGMarket: 78% (+8.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -69(favors Nam)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Nam)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nam)
LightweightMISS
Alexander Munoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munoz 44%56% Deaton
LEAN
→Elo gap: -54(favors Deaton)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Munoz)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ailin Perez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perez 80%20% Evans-Smith
STRONGMarket: 69% (+11.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +82(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Evans-Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Perez)