UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Saturday, November 5, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Strawweight✗
Amanda Lemos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lemos 40%60% Rodriguez
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
Welterweight✗
Neil Magny won by Submission (R3)
Magny 48%52% Rodriguez
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-3.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -78(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Magny)
Featherweight✓
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nuerdanbieke 51%49% Minner
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Nuerdanbieke)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Minner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Nuerdanbieke)
Flyweight✓
Tagir Ulanbekov won by Submission (R1)
Ulanbekov 57%43% Maness
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -190(favors Maness)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Ulanbekov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Ulanbekov)
Lightweight✓
Grant Dawson won by Submission (R3)
Dawson 67%33% Madsen
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Dawson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Madsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Madsen)
Women's Flyweight✓
Miranda Maverick won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maverick 83%17% Young
STRONGMarket: 88% (-4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +138(favors Maverick)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Maverick)
Bantamweight✓
Mario Bautista won by Submission (R1)
Bautista 86%14% Lopez
STRONGMarket: 78% (+8.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +110(favors Bautista)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Bautista)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Bautista)
Women's Strawweight✓
Polyana Viana won by KO/TKO (R1)
Viana 63%37% Frey
LEANMarket: 56% (+6.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Viana)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Viana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Frey)
Bantamweight✓
Johnny Munoz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Munoz 76%24% Sholinian
STRONGMarket: 68% (+7.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -28(favors Sholinian)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Munoz)
Flyweight✓
Jake Hadley won by Submission (R2)
Hadley 71%29% Candelario
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+0.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -13(favors Candelario)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Candelario)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Candelario)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Tamires Vidal won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vidal 54%46% Pascual
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +135(favors Vidal)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Pascual)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Pascual)