UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Saturday, August 6, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 8/10(80%)
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Main Card
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by KO/TKO (R4)
Hill 78%22% Santos
Over/UnderOver 64%
Under 36%Over 64%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+4.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
WelterweightMISS
Geoff Neal won by KO/TKO (R3)
Neal 42%58% Luque
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 37% (+5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -157(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Neal)
HeavyweightMISS
Mohammed Usman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Usman 34%66% Pauga
Over/UnderUnder 56%
Under 56%Over 44%
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Pauga)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Pauga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pauga)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Juliana Miller won by KO/TKO (R3)
Miller 66%34% Walker
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
CONFIDENTMarket: 56% (+9.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Walker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
HeavyweightHIT
Serghei Spivac won by KO/TKO (R2)
Spivac 82%18% Sakai
Over/UnderUnder 57%
Under 57%Over 43%
STRONGMarket: 72% (+9.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Spivac)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Spivac)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Spivac)
LightweightHIT
Terrance McKinney won by Submission (R1)
McKinney 90%10% Gonzalez
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 88% (+1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +276(favors McKinney)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors McKinney)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors McKinney)
Prelims
MiddleweightHIT
Michal Oleksiejczuk won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oleksiejczuk 87%13% Alvey
Over/UnderOver 52%
Under 48%Over 52%
STRONGMarket: 83% (+3.4% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +262(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Oleksiejczuk)
WelterweightHIT
Bryan Battle won by KO/TKO (R1)
Battle 74%26% Sato
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Battle)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Battle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Battle)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Cory McKenna won by Submission (R2)
McKenna 68%32% Granger
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +298(favors McKenna)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors McKenna)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors McKenna)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Mayra Bueno Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 53%47% Egger
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
TOSS-UPMarket: 54% (-1.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -142(favors Egger)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Egger)