UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Rafael Fiziev won by KO/TKO (R5)
Fiziev 56%44% Anjos
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Fiziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Anjos)
Middleweight✓
Caio Borralho won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borralho 70%30% Petrosyan
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+0.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Petrosyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.3(favors Petrosyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Borralho)
Bantamweight✓
Said Nurmagomedov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nurmagomedov 90%10% Andrade
STRONGMarket: 80% (+10.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Nurmagomedov)
Heavyweight✗
Chase Sherman won by KO/TKO (R3)
Sherman 27%73% Vanderaa
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-6.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -103(favors Vanderaa)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vanderaa)
Bantamweight✗
Aiemann Zahabi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zahabi 25%75% Turcios
STRONGMarket: 33% (-8.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -22(favors Turcios)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Turcios)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Turcios)
Lightweight✓
Jamie Mullarkey won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mullarkey 78%22% Johnson
STRONGMarket: 67% (+11.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Mullarkey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Mullarkey)
Middleweight✓
Cody Brundage won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brundage 60%40% Gore
LEANMarket: 43% (+16.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +94(favors Brundage)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Gore)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Gore)
Women's Flyweight✗
Antonina Shevchenko won by Decision - Split (R3)
Shevchenko 46%54% Casey
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-15.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -22(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Shevchenko)
Featherweight✓
David Onama won by Submission (R2)
Onama 85%15% Armfield
STRONGMarket: 86% (-1.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +70(favors Onama)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.5(favors Onama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Armfield)
Light Heavyweight✓
Kennedy Nzechukwu won by KO/TKO (R3)
Nzechukwu 69%31% Roberson
CONFIDENTMarket: 60% (+9.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +136(favors Nzechukwu)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Roberson)
Bantamweight✗
Saidyokub Kakhramonov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kakhramonov 47%53% Lawrence
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +2(favors Kakhramonov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Lawrence)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.5(favors Lawrence)