UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Saturday, June 4, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 12/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Alexander Volkov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Volkov 58%42% Rozenstruik
LEANMarket: 61% (-3.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rozenstruik)
Featherweight✓
Movsar Evloev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Evloev 86%14% Ige
STRONGMarket: 78% (+7.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Evloev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Evloev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Evloev)
Featherweight✗
Lucas Almeida won by KO/TKO (R3)
Almeida 42%58% Trizano
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Trizano)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Trizano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Trizano)
Women's Flyweight✓
Karine Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 53%47% Botelho
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-2.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +44(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Botelho)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Botelho)
Flyweight✓
Ode Osbourne won by KO/TKO (R1)
Osbourne 55%45% Adashev
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +54(favors Osbourne)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Osbourne)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Osbourne)
Light Heavyweight✓
Alonzo Menifield won by KO/TKO (R1)
Menifield 73%27% Mozharov
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +118(favors Menifield)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Menifield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Menifield)
Women's Strawweight✓
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won by Submission (R2)
Kowalkiewicz 53%47% Herrig
TOSS-UPMarket: 49% (+3.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -145(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Herrig)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Herrig)
Lightweight✓
Joe Solecki won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Solecki 54%46% Silva
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +249(favors Solecki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Solecki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Solecki)
Featherweight✓
Damon Jackson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jackson 50%50% Argueta
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +195(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Jackson)
Lightweight✓
Benoit Saint Denis won by Submission (R2)
Denis 67%33% Stolze
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +179(favors Denis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Denis)
Bantamweight✗
Tony Gravely won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gravely 44%56% Munoz
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Gravely)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Gravely)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Gravely)
Flyweight✓
Jeff Molina won by Decision - Split (R3)
Molina 69%31% Zhumagulov
CONFIDENTMarket: 63% (+6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +317(favors Molina)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.8(favors Molina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Zhumagulov)
Welterweight✓
Rinat Fakhretdinov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fakhretdinov 75%25% Michailidis
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+4.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +147(favors Fakhretdinov)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Michailidis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Michailidis)
Women's Flyweight✓
Erin Blanchfield won by Submission (R2)
Blanchfield 68%32% Aldrich
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Aldrich)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Blanchfield)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Blanchfield)