UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Saturday, April 23, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Strawweight✓
Jessica Andrade won by Submission (R1)
Andrade 72%28% Lemos
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+1.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Andrade)
Lightweight✓
Claudio Puelles won by Submission (R1)
Puelles 65%35% Guida
CONFIDENTMarket: 51% (+14.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Puelles)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Puelles)
Women's Flyweight✓
Maycee Barber won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barber 60%40% Rosa
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Barber)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Barber)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Rosa)
Featherweight✓
Charles Jourdain won by Submission (R1)
Jourdain 57%43% Vannata
LEANMarket: 52% (+5.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -71(favors Vannata)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Vannata)
Catch Weight✓
Marc-Andre Barriault won by Submission (R1)
Barriault 61%39% Wright
LEANMarket: 65% (-4.0% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Wright)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Wright)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Barriault)
Welterweight✓
Sergey Khandozhko won by KO/TKO (R2)
Khandozhko 56%44% Grant
LEANMarket: 54% (+2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -26(favors Grant)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Grant)
Light Heavyweight✓
Tyson Pedro won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pedro 69%31% Villanueva
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +363(favors Pedro)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Villanueva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Villanueva)
Bantamweight✓
Aoriqileng won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aoriqileng 63%37% Else
LEAN
→Elo gap: -72(favors Else)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Aoriqileng)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Aoriqileng)
Welterweight✓
Preston Parsons won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parsons 54%46% Elder
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -47(favors Elder)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.1(favors Parsons)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Elder)
Light Heavyweight✗
Philipe Lins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lins 33%67% Prachnio
CONFIDENTMarket: 47% (-13.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -160(favors Prachnio)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Prachnio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
Welterweight✗
Mike Jackson won by DQ (R1)
Jackson 26%74% Barry
CONFIDENTMarket: 11% (+14.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -244(favors Barry)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Jackson)