UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, April 9, 2022·Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Alexander Volkanovski won by KO/TKO (R4)
Volkanovski 65%35% Jung
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +337(favors Volkanovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Jung)
Bantamweight✗
Aljamain Sterling won by Decision - Split (R5)
Sterling 27%73% Yan
CONFIDENTMarket: 22% (+4.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -75(favors Yan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Sterling)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Yan)
Welterweight✓
Khamzat Chimaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chimaev 78%22% Burns
STRONGMarket: 81% (-3.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -323(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Chimaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Chimaev)
Women's Strawweight✗
Mackenzie Dern won by Decision - Split (R3)
Dern 49%51% Pennington
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-4.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Dern)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Dern)
Lightweight✗
Mark Madsen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Madsen 46%54% Pichel
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -199(favors Pichel)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Madsen)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Madsen)
Welterweight✓
Ian Machado Garry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Garry 89%11% Weeks
STRONGMarket: 79% (+10.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +168(favors Garry)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Weeks)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Weeks)
Middleweight✓
Anthony Hernandez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hernandez 53%47% Fremd
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-9.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.6(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Hernandez)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 53%47% Ladd
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-7.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Ladd)
Welterweight✗
Mike Malott won by KO/TKO (R1)
Malott 44%56% Gall
LEANMarket: 60% (-16.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Gall)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Gall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Gall)
Heavyweight✗
Aleksei Oleinik won by Submission (R1)
Oleinik 45%55% Vanderaa
LEANMarket: 43% (+1.7% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Oleinik)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Vanderaa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Oleinik)
Women's Strawweight✓
Piera Rodriguez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodriguez 57%43% Hansen
LEANMarket: 53% (+3.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +86(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Hansen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Hansen)
Bantamweight✓
Julio Arce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arce 60%40% Santos
LEANMarket: 65% (-4.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +120(favors Arce)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Arce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Arce)