UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
Saturday, March 26, 2022·Columbus, Ohio, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Curtis Blaydes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Blaydes 92%8% Daukaus
STRONGMarket: 82% (+10.4% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +262(favors Blaydes)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.7(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Blaydes)
Women's Flyweight✓
Alexa Grasso won by Submission (R1)
Grasso 76%24% Wood
STRONGMarket: 71% (+4.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Grasso)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Wood)
Welterweight✗
Bryan Barberena won by Decision - Split (R3)
Barberena 48%52% Brown
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-2.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -132(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Barberena)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Brown)
Flyweight✗
Kai Kara-France won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kara-France 29%71% Askarov
CONFIDENTMarket: 22% (+7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -13(favors Askarov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Kara-France)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Askarov)
Welterweight✓
Neil Magny won by Decision - Split (R3)
Magny 69%31% Griffin
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (-2.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +231(favors Magny)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Magny)
Lightweight✗
Marc Diakiese won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Diakiese 39%61% Borshchev
LEANMarket: 43% (-3.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -192(favors Borshchev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Borshchev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Diakiese)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Sara McMann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McMann 16%84% Rosa
STRONGMarket: 31% (-15.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -184(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.7(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors McMann)
Bantamweight✓
Chris Gutierrez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gutierrez 64%36% Danaa
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +89(favors Gutierrez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Danaa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Gutierrez)
Middleweight✓
Aliaskhab Khizriev won by Submission (R2)
Khizriev 88%12% Tiuliulin
STRONGMarket: 88% (+0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tiuliulin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tiuliulin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tiuliulin)
Women's Flyweight✓
Manon Fiorot won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fiorot 91%9% Maia
STRONGMarket: 80% (+10.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +90(favors Fiorot)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Fiorot)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Fiorot)
Flyweight✓
Matheus Nicolau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nicolau 50%50% Dvorak
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+4.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Nicolau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Dvorak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Nicolau)
Featherweight✗
Luis Saldana won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Saldana 44%56% Souza
LEANMarket: 43% (+0.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +26(favors Saldana)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Saldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Souza)