UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Saturday, February 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 11/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jamahal Hill won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hill 65%35% Walker
LEANMarket: 70% (-5.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +9(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Walker)
Catch WeightHIT
Kyle Daukaus won by Submission (R1)
Daukaus 76%24% Pickett
STRONGMarket: 72% (+4.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Daukaus)
HeavyweightHIT
Parker Porter won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Porter 70%30% Baudot
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (-1.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +137(favors Porter)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Porter)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miller 50%50% Motta
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+12.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +218(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Miller)
MiddleweightHIT
Joaquin Buckley won by Decision - Split (R3)
Buckley 74%26% Alhassan
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+16.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Buckley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Buckley)
FeatherweightHIT
David Onama won by KO/TKO (R1)
Onama 64%36% Benitez
LEANMarket: 63% (+0.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -122(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Onama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Benitez)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Stephanie Egger won by Submission (R1)
Egger 46%54% Clark
TOSS-UPMarket: 37% (+9.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Egger)
FeatherweightHIT
Chas Skelly won by KO/TKO (R2)
Skelly 67%33% Striegl
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +279(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Striegl)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Skelly)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Gloria de Paula won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Paula 55%45% Belbita
LEANMarket: 48% (+7.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -139(favors Belbita)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Belbita)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Belbita)
BantamweightHIT
Chad Anheliger won by KO/TKO (R3)
Anheliger 67%33% Strader
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (-2.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +78(favors Anheliger)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.1(favors Strader)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Strader)
FeatherweightHIT
Jonathan Pearce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pearce 83%17% Rodriguez
STRONGMarket: 78% (+4.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Pearce)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Pearce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.4(favors Pearce)
BantamweightHIT
Mario Bautista won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bautista 70%30% Perrin
CONFIDENTMarket: 76% (-5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -3(favors Perrin)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Bautista)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Bautista)