UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Saturday, February 12, 2022·Houston, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Adesanya 81%19% Whittaker
STRONGMarket: 73% (+8.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Adesanya)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Whittaker)
HeavyweightMISS
Tai Tuivasa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Tuivasa 43%57% Lewis
LEANMarket: 38% (+5.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -295(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Tuivasa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Lewis)
MiddleweightHIT
Jared Cannonier won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cannonier 52%48% Brunson
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-8.2% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Brunson)
LightweightMISS
Renato Moicano won by Submission (R2)
Moicano 45%55% Hernandez
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-14.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -80(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Moicano)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 52%48% Haqparast
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-6.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +188(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Green)
HeavyweightMISS
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Split (R3)
Arlovski 43%57% Vanderaa
LEANMarket: 60% (-16.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +286(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vanderaa)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Casey O'Neill won by Decision - Split (R3)
O'Neill 89%11% Modafferi
STRONGMarket: 77% (+12.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +264(favors O'Neill)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors O'Neill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors O'Neill)
BantamweightHIT
Kyler Phillips won by Submission (R3)
Phillips 89%11% Rojo
STRONGMarket: 79% (+9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +283(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Rojo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Phillips)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Carlos Ulberg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ulberg 65%35% Cherant
LEANMarket: 69% (-4.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +46(favors Ulberg)
→Striking volume advantage: +14.7(favors Ulberg)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cherant)
BantamweightHIT
Ronnie Lawrence won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lawrence 71%29% Martinez
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +57(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Lawrence)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.5(favors Lawrence)
MiddleweightMISS
Jacob Malkoun won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Malkoun 44%56% Dobson
LEANMarket: 46% (-1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +4(favors Malkoun)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Malkoun)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.8(favors Malkoun)
BantamweightMISS
Douglas Silva de Andrade won by Submission (R2)
Andrade 27%73% Morozov
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (-6.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +124(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Morozov)
WelterweightHIT
Jeremiah Wells won by Submission (R1)
Wells 61%39% Diamond
LEAN
→Elo gap: +219(favors Wells)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Wells)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Diamond)
HeavyweightMISS
Maxim Grishin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Grishin 49%51% Knight
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-11.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -284(favors Knight)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Grishin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Knight)