UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Saturday, November 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Bantamweight✓
Ketlen Vieira won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Vieira 68%32% Tate
CONFIDENTMarket: 50% (+17.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors Tate)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Tate)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Vieira)
Welterweight✗
Sean Brady won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brady 43%57% Chiesa
LEANMarket: 63% (-20.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -136(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Brady)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Chiesa)
Women's Flyweight✓
Taila Santos won by Submission (R1)
Santos 86%14% Wood
STRONGMarket: 78% (+8.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Santos)
Bantamweight✓
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 52%48% Kang
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+4.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Kang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Kang)
Bantamweight✓
Adrian Yanez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Yanez 73%27% Grant
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+1.8% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +130(favors Yanez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Yanez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Grant)
Featherweight✗
Pat Sabatini won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sabatini 41%59% Lutz
LEANMarket: 48% (-7.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +132(favors Sabatini)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.0(favors Lutz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Lutz)
Lightweight✗
Rafa Garcia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Garcia 49%51% Levy
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-2.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -119(favors Levy)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Garcia)
Women's Strawweight✗
Loopy Godinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Godinez 40%60% Lookboonmee
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -162(favors Lookboonmee)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Lookboonmee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Godinez)
Flyweight✗
Cody Durden won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Durden 47%53% Aoriqileng
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -12(favors Aoriqileng)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Aoriqileng)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Durden)
Featherweight✓
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nuerdanbieke 62%38% Soriano
LEAN
→Elo gap: +145(favors Nuerdanbieke)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Soriano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Nuerdanbieke)
Women's Strawweight✓
Luana Pinheiro won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pinheiro 87%13% Hughes
STRONGMarket: 78% (+8.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +143(favors Pinheiro)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Pinheiro)
→Takedown rate advantage: +17.6(favors Pinheiro)