UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Saturday, November 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Holloway 87%13% Rodriguez
STRONGMarket: 84% (+3.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +177(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
Heavyweight✓
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lima 69%31% Rothwell
CONFIDENTMarket: 40% (+29.5% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -184(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Rothwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Lima)
Women's Featherweight✓
Felicia Spencer won by KO/TKO (R3)
Spencer 66%34% Letson
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -9(favors Letson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Letson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Spencer)
Welterweight✓
Khaos Williams won by KO/TKO (R3)
Williams 52%48% Baeza
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -9(favors Baeza)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Baeza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Baeza)
Bantamweight✓
Song Yadong won by KO/TKO (R2)
Yadong 67%33% Arce
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Yadong)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Arce)
Lightweight✗
Joel Alvarez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvarez 22%78% Moises
STRONGMarket: 30% (-7.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -42(favors Moises)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Alvarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Moises)
Women's Flyweight✓
Andrea Lee won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lee 58%42% Calvillo
LEANMarket: 47% (+11.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Lee)
Featherweight✓
Sean Woodson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Woodson 83%17% Anglin
STRONGMarket: 76% (+7.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +86(favors Woodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Woodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Anglin)
Women's Flyweight✓
Cortney Casey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Casey 72%28% Jojua
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-2.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +57(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Jojua)
Lightweight✗
Rafael Alves won by Submission (R1)
Alves 24%76% Diakiese
STRONGMarket: 29% (-5.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -81(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Diakiese)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Diakiese)
Light Heavyweight✓
Da Woon Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 53%47% Nzechukwu
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Jung)