UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Saturday, November 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·11 fights
Model: 9/11(82%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Max Holloway won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Holloway 87%13% Rodriguez
Over/UnderOver 67%
Under 33%Over 67%
STRONGMarket: 84% (+3.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +162(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
HeavyweightHIT
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lima 67%33% Rothwell
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
CONFIDENTMarket: 40% (+27.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -246(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Rothwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Lima)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Felicia Spencer won by KO/TKO (R3)
Spencer 62%38% Letson
Over/UnderOver 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEANMarket: 75% (-13.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +19(favors Spencer)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Letson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Spencer)
WelterweightHIT
Khaos Williams won by KO/TKO (R3)
Williams 60%40% Baeza
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 42% (+17.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Baeza)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Baeza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Baeza)
BantamweightHIT
Song Yadong won by KO/TKO (R2)
Yadong 62%38% Arce
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 56% (+5.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +282(favors Yadong)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Yadong)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Arce)
LightweightMISS
Joel Alvarez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvarez 32%68% Moises
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
CONFIDENTMarket: 30% (+1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -7(favors Moises)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Alvarez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Moises)
Prelims
Women's FlyweightHIT
Andrea Lee won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lee 52%48% Calvillo
Over/UnderOver 66%
Under 34%Over 66%
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+4.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -19(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Lee)
FeatherweightHIT
Sean Woodson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Woodson 85%15% Anglin
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+9.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +142(favors Woodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Woodson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Anglin)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Cortney Casey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Casey 78%22% Jojua
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+4.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +178(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Jojua)
LightweightMISS
Rafael Alves won by Submission (R1)
Alves 33%67% Diakiese
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -127(favors Diakiese)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Diakiese)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Diakiese)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Da Woon Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 56%44% Nzechukwu
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +11(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Jung)