UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
Saturday, October 16, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Featherweight✗
Norma Dumont won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Dumont 47%53% Ladd
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+0.7% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -201(favors Ladd)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Ladd)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Ladd)
Heavyweight✗
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 41%59% Felipe
LEANMarket: 50% (-9.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +25(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Felipe)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Felipe)
Lightweight✓
Jim Miller won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miller 68%32% Gonzalez
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (-2.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +139(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Miller)
Women's Flyweight✓
Manon Fiorot won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fiorot 71%29% Silva
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +122(favors Fiorot)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Fiorot)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Fiorot)
Featherweight✗
Nate Landwehr won by Submission (R3)
Landwehr 23%77% Klein
STRONGMarket: 24% (-0.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -195(favors Klein)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Landwehr)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Klein)
Middleweight✓
Bruno Silva won by KO/TKO (R3)
Silva 57%43% Sanchez
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +54(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Sanchez)
Welterweight✗
Danny Roberts won by Decision - Split (R3)
Roberts 21%79% Emeev
STRONGMarket: 26% (-5.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -251(favors Emeev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Emeev)
Women's Flyweight✗
Luana Carolina won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Carolina 49%51% Godinez
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -28(favors Godinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Carolina)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.2(favors Godinez)
Bantamweight✓
Batgerel Danaa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Danaa 61%39% Davis
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +176(favors Danaa)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Danaa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Davis)
Women's Strawweight✓
Ariane Carnelossi won by Submission (R3)
Carnelossi 52%48% Nunes
TOSS-UPMarket: 59% (-7.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +15(favors Carnelossi)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.2(favors Carnelossi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Nunes)