UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Saturday, January 16, 2021·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Max Holloway won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Holloway 64%36% Kattar
LEANMarket: 60% (+3.9% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Kattar)
Welterweight✓
Carlos Condit won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Condit 56%44% Brown
LEANMarket: 62% (-5.7% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Condit)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Brown)
Welterweight✗
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jingliang 18%82% Ponzinibbio
STRONGMarket: 25% (-7.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -328(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Jingliang)
Middleweight✗
Alessio Di Chirico won by KO/TKO (R1)
Chirico 27%73% Buckley
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-1.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -297(favors Buckley)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Buckley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Chirico)
Middleweight✗
Punahele Soriano won by KO/TKO (R1)
Soriano 41%59% Todorovic
LEANMarket: 42% (-0.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +53(favors Soriano)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Todorovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Soriano)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Joselyne Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 58%42% Yanan
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +10(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.8(favors Yanan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Yanan)
Heavyweight✓
Carlos Felipe won by Decision - Split (R3)
Felipe 69%31% Tafa
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +25(favors Felipe)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Felipe)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tafa)
Welterweight✓
Ramazan Emeev won by Decision - Split (R3)
Emeev 73%27% Zawada
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+4.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +236(favors Emeev)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Zawada)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Emeev)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Vanessa Melo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Melo 39%61% Moras
LEANMarket: 31% (+7.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -91(favors Moras)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Melo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Moras)
Featherweight✓
Austin Lingo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lingo 70%30% Kilburn
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +26(favors Lingo)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Lingo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Lingo)