UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Saturday, December 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·10 fights
Model: 6/9(67%)
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Main Card
Flyweight
Figueiredo 36%64% Moreno
Over/UnderOver 72%
Under 28%Over 72%
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +326(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Figueiredo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Figueiredo)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oliveira 63%37% Ferguson
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: -103(favors Ferguson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Ferguson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Oliveira)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Mackenzie Dern won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dern 57%43% Jandiroba
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Jandiroba)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Dern)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Jandiroba)
MiddleweightHIT
Kevin Holland won by KO/TKO (R1)
Holland 77%23% Souza
Over/UnderUnder 59%
Under 59%Over 41%
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -265(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Holland)
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gane 66%34% Santos
Over/UnderUnder 63%
Under 63%Over 37%
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -242(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Gane)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Gane)
Prelims
FeatherweightMISS
Cub Swanson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Swanson 39%61% Pineda
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +298(favors Swanson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Swanson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pineda)
LightweightMISS
Rafael Fiziev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fiziev 46%54% Moicano
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -129(favors Moicano)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Moicano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Moicano)
FeatherweightMISS
Gavin Tucker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tucker 43%57% Quarantillo
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Quarantillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Quarantillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Quarantillo)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tecia Pennington won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pennington 54%46% Hughes
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +115(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Pennington)
Early Prelims
FeatherweightHIT
Chase Hooper won by Submission (R3)
Hooper 62%38% Barrett
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +27(favors Hooper)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Hooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Hooper)