UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
Saturday, November 21, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Submission (R1)
Figueiredo 64%36% Perez
LEANMarket: 75% (-11.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +305(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Perez)
Women's Flyweight✓
Valentina Shevchenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Shevchenko 89%11% Maia
STRONGMarket: 91% (-2.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +345(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Maia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Shevchenko)
Welterweight✓
Tim Means won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Means 56%44% Perry
LEANMarket: 42% (+13.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -166(favors Perry)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Means)
Women's Flyweight✗
Katlyn Cerminara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cerminara 48%52% Calvillo
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -177(favors Calvillo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Calvillo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Calvillo)
Light Heavyweight✓
Paul Craig won by KO/TKO (R2)
Craig 59%41% Rua
LEANMarket: 61% (-1.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -229(favors Rua)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Rua)
Flyweight✓
Brandon Moreno won by KO/TKO (R1)
Moreno 70%30% Royval
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+6.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +104(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Royval)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Moreno)
Middleweight✓
Joaquin Buckley won by KO/TKO (R2)
Buckley 61%39% Wright
LEANMarket: 70% (-8.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +44(favors Buckley)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.0(favors Wright)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Buckley)
Women's Flyweight✗
Antonina Shevchenko won by KO/TKO (R2)
Shevchenko 49%51% Silva
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -76(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Shevchenko)
Welterweight✗
Nicolas Dalby won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dalby 31%69% Rodriguez
CONFIDENTMarket: 27% (+3.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -264(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.9(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Dalby)
Welterweight✗
Alan Jouban won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jouban 41%59% Gooden
LEANMarket: 56% (-15.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Jouban)
Middleweight✓
Kyle Daukaus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Daukaus 72%28% Stoltzfus
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-0.5% edge)
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -20(favors Stoltzfus)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Daukaus)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Daukaus)
Welterweight✗
Sasha Palatnikov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Palatnikov 24%76% Cosce
STRONGMarket: 23% (+1.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cosce)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cosce)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cosce)