UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, October 17, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates·11 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightMISS
Brian Ortega won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Ortega 43%57% Jung
Over/UnderOver 69%
Under 31%Over 69%
LEANMarket: 36% (+7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ortega)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Ortega)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrade 64%36% Cerminara
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Andrade)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jimmy Crute won by KO/TKO (R1)
Crute 64%36% Bukauskas
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Crute)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Bukauskas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Crute)
WelterweightHIT
James Krause won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Krause 58%42% Silva
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 57% (+0.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Silva)
FeatherweightMISS
Jonathan Martinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martinez 45%55% Almeida
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
LEANMarket: 45% (+0.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +48(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Martinez)
LightweightMISS
Guram Kutateladze won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kutateladze 32%68% Gamrot
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 27% (+4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gamrot)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gamrot)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gamrot)
Prelims
Women's FlyweightHIT
Gillian Robertson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Robertson 74%26% Botelho
Over/UnderOver 61%
Under 39%Over 61%
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+8.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +81(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Botelho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Robertson)
MiddleweightHIT
JunYong Park won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Park 68%32% Phillips
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Park)
LightweightHIT
Fares Ziam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ziam 57%43% Mullarkey
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 45% (+12.8% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +64(favors Ziam)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Mullarkey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Mullarkey)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Maxim Grishin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Grishin 86%14% Antigulov
Over/UnderUnder 61%
Under 61%Over 39%
STRONGMarket: 76% (+10.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +55(favors Grishin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Antigulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.4(favors Antigulov)
BantamweightHIT
Said Nurmagomedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nurmagomedov 87%13% Striegl
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +255(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Nurmagomedov)