UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, October 17, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✗
Brian Ortega won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Ortega 32%68% Jung
CONFIDENTMarket: 36% (-4.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ortega)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Ortega)
Women's Flyweight✓
Jessica Andrade won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrade 68%32% Cerminara
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Andrade)
Light Heavyweight✓
Jimmy Crute won by KO/TKO (R1)
Crute 73%27% Bukauskas
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +94(favors Crute)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Bukauskas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Crute)
Welterweight✓
James Krause won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Krause 57%43% Silva
LEANMarket: 57% (+0.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -67(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Silva)
Featherweight✗
Jonathan Martinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martinez 46%54% Almeida
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+0.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Martinez)
Lightweight✗
Guram Kutateladze won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kutateladze 30%70% Gamrot
CONFIDENTMarket: 27% (+2.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gamrot)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gamrot)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gamrot)
Women's Flyweight✓
Gillian Robertson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Robertson 78%22% Botelho
STRONGMarket: 66% (+12.3% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +69(favors Robertson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Botelho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Robertson)
Middleweight✓
JunYong Park won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Park 82%18% Phillips
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Park)
Lightweight✓
Fares Ziam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ziam 56%44% Mullarkey
LEANMarket: 45% (+11.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +30(favors Ziam)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Mullarkey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Mullarkey)
Light Heavyweight✓
Maxim Grishin won by KO/TKO (R2)
Grishin 81%19% Antigulov
STRONGMarket: 76% (+4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +58(favors Grishin)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Antigulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -8.4(favors Antigulov)
Bantamweight✓
Said Nurmagomedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nurmagomedov 89%11% Striegl
STRONGMarket: 77% (+11.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +167(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Nurmagomedov)