UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar
Saturday, August 22, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA·9 fights
Model: 5/8(63%)
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Main Card
BantamweightMISS
Frankie Edgar won by Decision - Split (R5)
Edgar 40%60% Munhoz
Over/UnderOver 71%
Under 29%Over 71%
LEANMarket: 30% (+9.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Edgar)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Mike Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rodriguez 81%19% Prachnio
Over/UnderUnder 60%
Under 60%Over 40%
STRONGMarket: 67% (+13.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +304(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
LightweightHIT
Joe Solecki won by Submission (R1)
Solecki 64%36% Hubbard
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 47% (+17.0% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Solecki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Solecki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Solecki)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Shana Dobson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dobson 52%48% Agapova
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
TOSS-UPMarket: 9% (+43.1% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -474(favors Agapova)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.1(favors Agapova)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Dobson)
WelterweightHIT
Daniel Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rodriguez 57%43% Grant
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
LEANMarket: 64% (-7.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.1(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Rodriguez)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Amanda Lemos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lemos 47%53% Mizuki
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -55(favors Mizuki)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Lemos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Lemos)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jordan Wright won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wright 68%32% Villanueva
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+16.3% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +285(favors Wright)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Villanueva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villanueva)
WelterweightMISS
Matthew Semelsberger won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Semelsberger 48%52% Minus
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Minus)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Minus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Minus)
Catch Weight
Valiev 88%12% Jones
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
STRONGMarket: 90% (-1.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +302(favors Valiev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jones)