UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Saturday, August 15, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Heavyweight✓
Stipe Miocic won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Miocic 66%34% Cormier
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (+18.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Cormier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Miocic)
Bantamweight✗
Marlon Vera won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vera 30%70% O'Malley
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+1.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -103(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Vera)
Heavyweight✓
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rozenstruik 52%48% Santos
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Rozenstruik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santos)
Featherweight✗
Daniel Pineda won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pineda 34%66% Burns
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (+5.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -367(favors Burns)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Burns)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.2(favors Burns)
Bantamweight✓
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 80%20% Dodson
STRONGMarket: 71% (+8.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -152(favors Dodson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.3(favors Dvalishvili)
Lightweight✓
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 68%32% Miller
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (+14.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -39(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Pichel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Pichel)
Women's Strawweight✓
Virna Jandiroba won by Submission (R1)
Jandiroba 78%22% Herrig
STRONGMarket: 74% (+4.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -33(favors Herrig)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Herrig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Jandiroba)
Featherweight✗
Danny Chavez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chavez 47%53% Brown
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +145(favors Chavez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: -12.2(favors Brown)
Women's Strawweight✓
Livinha Souza won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Souza 61%39% Yoder
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors Souza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Yoder)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Souza)
Heavyweight✓
Chris Daukaus won by KO/TKO (R1)
Daukaus 54%46% Porter
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (+2.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Porter)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Porter)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Porter)
Featherweight✓
Kai Kamaka won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kamaka 76%24% Kelley
STRONGMarket: 70% (+6.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kelley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kelley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kelley)