UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Saturday, August 1, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 3/7Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Derek Brunson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Brunson 20%80% Shahbazyan
STRONGMarket: 24% (-4.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +59(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.8(favors Shahbazyan)
Women's Flyweight✗
Jennifer Maia won by Submission (R1)
Maia 43%57% Wood
LEANMarket: 35% (+7.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Wood)
Welterweight✓
Vicente Luque won by KO/TKO (R2)
Luque 61%39% Brown
LEANMarket: 65% (-3.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +125(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Brown)
Lightweight✗
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 40%60% Vannata
LEANMarket: 43% (-2.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Green)
Bantamweight✓
Jonathan Martinez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Martinez 80%20% Saenz
STRONGMarket: 69% (+11.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Saenz)
Featherweight✗
Nate Maness won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maness 44%56% Munoz
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Munoz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Munoz)
Featherweight✓
Jamall Emmers won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Emmers 90%10% Cachero
STRONGMarket: 81% (+8.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -54(favors Cachero)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Emmers)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Emmers)
Bantamweight
Gutierrez 67%33% Durden
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-4.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Gutierrez)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Gutierrez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Gutierrez)