UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Wednesday, May 13, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✗
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R5)
Teixeira 37%63% Smith
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -210(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Teixeira)
Heavyweight✗
Ben Rothwell won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rothwell 47%53% Preux
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +0(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Rothwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Preux)
Lightweight✗
Drew Dober won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dober 38%62% Hernandez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Dober)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Hernandez)
Bantamweight✓
Ricky Simon won by Decision - Split (R3)
Simon 62%38% Borg
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -157(favors Borg)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Simon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Simon)
Heavyweight✓
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arlovski 61%39% Lins
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +31(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Arlovski)
Lightweight✓
Thiago Moises won by Submission (R2)
Moises 60%40% Johnson
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -96(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Moises)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Sijara Eubanks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Eubanks 50%50% Moras
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Moras)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Eubanks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Eubanks)
Lightweight✗
Omar Morales won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Morales 43%57% Benitez
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -68(favors Benitez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Benitez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Morales)
Featherweight✗
Brian Kelleher won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kelleher 43%57% Azure
LEAN
→Elo gap: +45(favors Kelleher)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Kelleher)
Heavyweight✓
Chase Sherman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sherman 58%42% Villanueva
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -215(favors Villanueva)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.8(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villanueva)