UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Saturday, February 15, 2020·Rio Rancho, New Mexico, USA
Model Record: 7/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✗
Jan Blachowicz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Blachowicz 35%65% Anderson
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (+2.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Blachowicz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Blachowicz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.7(favors Anderson)
Welterweight✗
Diego Sanchez won by DQ (R3)
Sanchez 31%69% Pereira
CONFIDENTMarket: 41% (-9.3% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Sanchez)
Women's Flyweight✓
Montana De La Rosa won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosa 66%34% Borella
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+4.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +269(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Borella)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Rosa)
Lightweight✗
Brok Weaver won by DQ (R1)
Weaver 48%52% Vargas
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -44(favors Vargas)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Vargas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vargas)
Flyweight✓
Ray Borg won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Borg 61%39% Bontorin
LEANMarket: 58% (+3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +47(favors Borg)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Bontorin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Borg)
Lightweight✓
Lando Vannata won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vannata 70%30% Medeiros
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+17.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -208(favors Medeiros)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Vannata)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Vannata)
Welterweight✗
Daniel Rodriguez won by Submission (R2)
Rodriguez 18%82% Means
STRONGMarket: 26% (-7.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -144(favors Means)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.6(favors Means)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Means)
Bantamweight✗
John Dodson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Dodson 42%58% Wood
LEANMarket: 42% (+0.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -142(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Wood)
Lightweight✗
Scott Holtzman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holtzman 48%52% Miller
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-8.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -28(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Holtzman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Miller)
Light Heavyweight✓
Devin Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 89%11% Townsend
STRONGMarket: 77% (+11.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +241(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Clark)
Bantamweight✓
Merab Dvalishvili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dvalishvili 65%35% Kenney
LEANMarket: 61% (+3.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -196(favors Kenney)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Dvalishvili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.8(favors Dvalishvili)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Macy Chiasson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chiasson 91%9% Young
STRONGMarket: 86% (+4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +79(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Chiasson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Young)
Flyweight✓
Raulian Paiva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Paiva 63%37% Rosa
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -81(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Paiva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Rosa)