UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Saturday, November 9, 2019·Moscow, Moscow, Russia
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedsharipov 81%19% Kattar
STRONGMarket: 72% (+8.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -50(favors Kattar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Magomedsharipov)
Heavyweight✓
Alexander Volkov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkov 70%30% Hardy
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-3.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +312(favors Volkov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Volkov)
Welterweight✗
Danny Roberts won by KO/TKO (R2)
Roberts 32%68% Imadaev
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (+0.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +24(favors Roberts)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Imadaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Imadaev)
Light Heavyweight✗
Ed Herman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Herman 30%70% Ibragimov
CONFIDENTMarket: 36% (-5.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +224(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Ibragimov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ibragimov)
Welterweight✓
Anthony Rocco Martin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martin 52%48% Emeev
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +154(favors Martin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Martin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Emeev)
Light Heavyweight✗
Shamil Gamzatov won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gamzatov 40%60% Abreu
LEAN
→Elo gap: -26(favors Abreu)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Abreu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Abreu)
Light Heavyweight✓
Magomed Ankalaev won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ankalaev 70%30% Lungiambula
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-5.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Lungiambula)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ankalaev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.2(favors Lungiambula)
Welterweight✓
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Khabilov 77%23% Khandozhko
STRONGMarket: 69% (+7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +275(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Khandozhko)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Khabilov)
Middleweight✓
Karl Roberson won by Submission (R3)
Roberson 59%41% Kopylov
LEANMarket: 47% (+12.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +118(favors Roberson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Roberson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Roberson)
Welterweight✗
David Zawada won by Submission (R1)
Zawada 26%74% Nurmagomedov
CONFIDENTMarket: 28% (-1.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -92(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Zawada)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Zawada)
Lightweight✓
Roosevelt Roberts won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Roberts 71%29% Yakovlev
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (+16.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -45(favors Yakovlev)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yakovlev)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Pannie Kianzad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kianzad 56%44% Clark
LEANMarket: 51% (+5.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -180(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Clark)
Bantamweight✓
Davey Grant won by Decision - Split (R3)
Grant 54%46% Popov
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+12.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -81(favors Popov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Popov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Grant)