UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Saturday, March 2, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jones 95%5% Smith
STRONGMarket: 86% (+8.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +376(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Jones)
Welterweight✗
Kamaru Usman won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Usman 36%64% Woodley
LEANMarket: 36% (-0.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -220(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Usman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Usman)
Welterweight✓
Ben Askren won by Submission (R1)
Askren 71%29% Lawler
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -584(favors Lawler)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Lawler)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lawler)
Women's Strawweight✓
Zhang Weili won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Weili 63%37% Pennington
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Weili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Weili)
Bantamweight✗
Pedro Munhoz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Munhoz 43%57% Garbrandt
LEANMarket: 40% (+3.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Munhoz)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Munhoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Munhoz)
Featherweight✓
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Magomedsharipov 81%19% Stephens
STRONGMarket: 73% (+7.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.2(favors Magomedsharipov)
Light Heavyweight✓
Johnny Walker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Walker 66%34% Cirkunov
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+3.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +52(favors Walker)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Walker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Cirkunov)
Bantamweight✓
Cody Stamann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stamann 53%47% Perez
TOSS-UPMarket: 62% (-8.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -239(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Stamann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Stamann)
Welterweight✗
Diego Sanchez won by KO/TKO (R2)
Sanchez 27%73% Gall
CONFIDENTMarket: 32% (-4.8% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -91(favors Gall)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Gall)
Middleweight✓
Edmen Shahbazyan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Shahbazyan 75%25% Byrd
STRONGMarket: 59% (+16.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +162(favors Shahbazyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Byrd)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.7(favors Shahbazyan)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Macy Chiasson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Chiasson 82%18% Mazany
STRONGMarket: 82% (+0.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Chiasson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Mazany)
Women's Strawweight✗
Hannah Cifers won by Decision - Split (R3)
Cifers 20%80% Viana
STRONGMarket: 28% (-7.7% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -154(favors Viana)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Viana)