UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Saturday, February 9, 2019·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Model Record: 10/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Adesanya 91%9% Silva
STRONGMarket: 81% (+10.1% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Adesanya)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
LightweightHIT
Lando Vannata won by Submission (R1)
Vannata 89%11% Mariano
STRONGMarket: 79% (+9.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +14(favors Vannata)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.0(favors Vannata)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Vannata)
BantamweightHIT
Ricky Simon won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Simon 68%32% Yahya
CONFIDENTMarket: 49% (+19.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -146(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Yahya)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Simon)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Montana De La Rosa won by Submission (R2)
Rosa 73%27% Kassem
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+3.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +149(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kassem)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jimmy Crute won by KO/TKO (R1)
Crute 34%66% Alvey
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Crute)
LightweightHIT
Devonte Smith won by KO/TKO (R1)
Smith 68%32% Ma
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +13.2(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Ma)
FeatherweightHIT
Shane Young won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Young 79%21% Arnett
STRONGMarket: 76% (+2.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +139(favors Young)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Young)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Young)
FlyweightHIT
Kai Kara-France won by Decision - Split (R3)
Kara-France 71%29% Paiva
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+0.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +51(favors Kara-France)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Kara-France)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Paiva)
BantamweightHIT
Kyung Ho Kang won by Submission (R1)
Kang 69%31% Ishihara
CONFIDENTMarket: 76% (-6.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +277(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Kang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Kang)
LightweightHIT
Jalin Turner won by KO/TKO (R1)
Turner 84%16% Potter
STRONGMarket: 68% (+16.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -18(favors Potter)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.0(favors Turner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Potter)
BantamweightHIT
Jonathan Martinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martinez 58%42% Wulijiburen
LEAN
→Elo gap: +95(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Wulijiburen)