UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Saturday, December 29, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA
Model Record: 12/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Jon Jones won by KO/TKO (R3)
Jones 77%23% Gustafsson
STRONGMarket: 73% (+4.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +317(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Gustafsson)
Women's Featherweight✓
Amanda Nunes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nunes 51%49% Justino
TOSS-UPMarket: 36% (+14.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +223(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Nunes)
Welterweight✓
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R2)
Chiesa 52%48% Condit
TOSS-UPMarket: 53% (-0.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Condit)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Chiesa)
Light Heavyweight✓
Corey Anderson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anderson 79%21% Latifi
STRONGMarket: 46% (+33.1% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -103(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Anderson)
Featherweight✓
Alexander Volkanovski won by KO/TKO (R2)
Volkanovski 72%28% Mendes
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -55(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Volkanovski)
Heavyweight
Arlovski 25%75% Harris
STRONGMarket: 34% (-9.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -276(favors Harris)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Harris)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Arlovski)
Women's Featherweight✓
Megan Anderson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Anderson 51%49% Zingano
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+4.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -273(favors Zingano)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Zingano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Zingano)
Bantamweight✓
Petr Yan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Yan 80%20% Andrade
STRONGMarket: 75% (+4.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -12(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Yan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Andrade)
Lightweight✓
Ryan Hall won by Submission (R1)
Hall 75%25% Penn
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Hall)
Bantamweight✓
Nathaniel Wood won by Submission (R3)
Wood 61%39% Ewell
LEANMarket: 53% (+7.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +38(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Ewell)
Middleweight✓
Uriah Hall won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hall 57%43% Lewis
LEAN
→Elo gap: +233(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Hall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lewis)
Welterweight✓
Curtis Millender won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Millender 58%42% Bahadurzada
LEANMarket: 58% (-0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +5(favors Millender)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Millender)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Bahadurzada)
Bantamweight✓
Montel Jackson won by Submission (R1)
Jackson 59%41% Kelleher
LEANMarket: 62% (-3.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -291(favors Kelleher)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Jackson)