UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio
Saturday, November 17, 2018·Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Welterweight✓
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by KO/TKO (R4)
Ponzinibbio 66%34% Magny
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (-0.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Magny)
Featherweight✗
Ricardo Lamas won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lamas 49%51% Elkins
TOSS-UPMarket: 61% (-11.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -133(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Lamas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Elkins)
Light Heavyweight✓
Johnny Walker won by KO/TKO (R1)
Walker 52%48% Jr.
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -227(favors Jr.)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Jr.)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jr.)
Middleweight✗
Ian Heinisch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Heinisch 36%64% Ferreira
LEANMarket: 37% (-1.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -287(favors Ferreira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Ferreira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.7(favors Ferreira)
Bantamweight✓
Marlon Vera won by Submission (R2)
Vera 68%32% Cannetti
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-5.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +110(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Cannetti)
Women's Strawweight✗
Cynthia Calvillo won by Submission (R1)
Calvillo 36%64% Botelho
LEANMarket: 38% (-2.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Botelho)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Botelho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Calvillo)
Welterweight✗
Michel Prazeres won by Submission (R1)
Prazeres 42%58% Fabinski
LEANMarket: 58% (-16.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +168(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Prazeres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Fabinski)
Flyweight✓
Alexandre Pantoja won by Submission (R1)
Pantoja 78%22% Sasaki
STRONGMarket: 74% (+4.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +132(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Sasaki)
Featherweight✗
Austin Arnett won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arnett 30%70% Bandenay
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (-1.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -237(favors Bandenay)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Bandenay)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Arnett)
Welterweight✓
Laureano Staropoli won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Staropoli 60%40% Aldana
LEANMarket: 47% (+12.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +104(favors Staropoli)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Aldana)
Lightweight✓
Jesus Pinedo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pinedo 60%40% Powell
LEANMarket: 67% (-6.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +9(favors Pinedo)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Powell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Powell)
Featherweight✓
Nad Narimani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Narimani 67%33% Santos
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +85(favors Narimani)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Narimani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Narimani)