UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
Saturday, November 10, 2018·Denver, Colorado, USA·12 fights
Model: 8/11(73%)
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Main Card
FeatherweightHIT
Yair Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R5)
Rodriguez 60%40% Jung
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
LEANMarket: 55% (+5.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Jung)
WelterweightMISS
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R1)
Cerrone 44%56% Perry
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
LEANMarket: 36% (+8.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Perry)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Germaine de Randamie won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Randamie 56%44% Pennington
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 67% (-10.8% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pennington)
LightweightHIT
Beneil Dariush won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dariush 62%38% Moises
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 59% (+2.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +309(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moises)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Maycee Barber won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barber 89%11% Cifers
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
STRONGMarket: 80% (+9.4% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cifers)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cifers)
LightweightMISS
Michael Trizano won by Decision - Split (R3)
Trizano 48%52% Pena
Over/UnderUnder 52%
Under 52%Over 48%
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Pena)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Trizano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Pena)
Prelims
Women's StrawweightMISS
Ashley Yoder won by Decision - Split (R3)
Yoder 43%57% Cooper
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
LEANMarket: 57% (-14.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -201(favors Cooper)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Cooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Yoder)
Featherweight
Skelly 31%69% Moffett
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (-17.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +424(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Skelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Skelly)
LightweightHIT
Davi Ramos won by Submission (R1)
Ramos 91%9% Gunther
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
STRONGMarket: 88% (+2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +258(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Gunther)
LightweightHIT
Devonte Smith won by KO/TKO (R1)
Smith 70%30% Erosa
Over/UnderUnder 50%
Under 50%Over 50%
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+2.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Erosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Erosa)
FlyweightHIT
Eric Shelton won by Decision - Split (R3)
Shelton 62%38% Morales
Over/UnderOver 63%
Under 37%Over 63%
LEANMarket: 57% (+5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -135(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Shelton)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Shelton)
BantamweightHIT
Mark De La Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 58%42% Sanchez
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: +430(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Rosa)