UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez
Saturday, November 10, 2018·Denver, Colorado, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✓
Yair Rodriguez won by KO/TKO (R5)
Rodriguez 53%47% Jung
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-1.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Jung)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Jung)
Welterweight✗
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R1)
Cerrone 50%50% Perry
TOSS-UPMarket: 36% (+14.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Perry)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Germaine de Randamie won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Randamie 53%47% Pennington
TOSS-UPMarket: 67% (-14.0% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pennington)
Lightweight✓
Beneil Dariush won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dariush 65%35% Moises
CONFIDENTMarket: 59% (+6.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +149(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors Dariush)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moises)
Women's Strawweight✓
Maycee Barber won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barber 90%10% Cifers
STRONGMarket: 80% (+10.3% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cifers)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cifers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cifers)
Lightweight✓
Michael Trizano won by Decision - Split (R3)
Trizano 51%49% Pena
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Pena)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Trizano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Pena)
Women's Strawweight✗
Ashley Yoder won by Decision - Split (R3)
Yoder 44%56% Cooper
LEANMarket: 57% (-12.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -104(favors Cooper)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Cooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Yoder)
Featherweight
Skelly 36%64% Moffett
LEANMarket: 48% (-12.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +350(favors Skelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Skelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Skelly)
Lightweight✓
Davi Ramos won by Submission (R1)
Ramos 89%11% Gunther
STRONGMarket: 88% (+1.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +163(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Gunther)
Lightweight✓
Devonte Smith won by KO/TKO (R1)
Smith 76%24% Erosa
STRONGMarket: 68% (+7.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +89(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Erosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Erosa)
Flyweight✓
Eric Shelton won by Decision - Split (R3)
Shelton 60%40% Morales
LEANMarket: 57% (+2.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -94(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Shelton)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Shelton)
Bantamweight✓
Mark De La Rosa won by Decision - Split (R3)
Rosa 59%41% Sanchez
LEAN
→Elo gap: +271(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Rosa)