The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Friday, July 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Adesanya 49%51% Tavares
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -292(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Adesanya)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Tavares)
Lightweight✗
Michael Trizano won by Decision - Split (R3)
Trizano 37%63% Giannetti
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Giannetti)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Giannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Giannetti)
Featherweight✓
Brad Katona won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Katona 54%46% Cucciniello
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cucciniello)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cucciniello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cucciniello)
Featherweight✓
Alex Caceres won by Decision - Split (R3)
Caceres 62%38% Bravo
LEAN
→Elo gap: +78(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Bravo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Caceres)
Women's Flyweight✓
Roxanne Modafferi won by KO/TKO (R2)
Modafferi 54%46% Honchak
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -68(favors Honchak)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Honchak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Modafferi)
Middleweight✓
Alessio Di Chirico won by Decision - Split (R3)
Chirico 64%36% Marquez
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -25(favors Marquez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Marquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Chirico)
Women's Flyweight✓
Montana De La Rosa won by Submission (R3)
Rosa 70%30% Ostovich
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ostovich)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Rosa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -9.0(favors Ostovich)
Lightweight✓
Luis Pena won by Submission (R1)
Pena 66%34% Smullen
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Smullen)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Smullen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smullen)
Lightweight✗
John Gunther won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Gunther 40%60% Zuniga
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Zuniga)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Zuniga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Zuniga)
Featherweight✓
Bryce Mitchell won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Mitchell 56%44% Diamond
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Diamond)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Diamond)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Diamond)
Featherweight✓
Steven Peterson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Peterson 56%44% Bessette
LEAN
→Elo gap: -55(favors Bessette)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Peterson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Peterson)
Middleweight✓
Gerald Meerschaert won by Submission (R2)
Meerschaert 52%48% Piechota
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Piechota)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Meerschaert)