UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Saturday, February 24, 2018·Orlando, Florida, USA
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✗
Jeremy Stephens won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stephens 47%53% Emmett
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-8.4% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Emmett)
Women's Strawweight✓
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Andrade 68%32% Pennington
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (-2.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Andrade)
Light Heavyweight✓
Ilir Latifi won by Submission (R1)
Latifi 60%40% Preux
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -90(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Preux)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Latifi)
Welterweight✗
Max Griffin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Griffin 29%71% Perry
CONFIDENTMarket: 22% (+6.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -286(favors Perry)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Perry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Perry)
Bantamweight✗
Brian Kelleher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelleher 46%54% Barao
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+7.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Kelleher)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Kelleher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Barao)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Marion Reneau won by Submission (R2)
Reneau 47%53% McMann
TOSS-UPMarket: 36% (+10.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Reneau)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors McMann)
Women's Strawweight✗
Angela Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 39%61% Moroz
LEANMarket: 57% (-18.4% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -180(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Moroz)
Welterweight✓
Alan Jouban won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jouban 74%26% Saunders
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+3.6% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +30(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Jouban)
Light Heavyweight✗
Sam Alvey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alvey 39%61% Prachnio
LEANMarket: 32% (+6.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +194(favors Alvey)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Alvey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Prachnio)
Bantamweight✓
Rani Yahya won by Submission (R3)
Yahya 73%27% Doane
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+5.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Yahya)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Yahya)
Flyweight✓
Alex Perez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perez 59%41% Shelton
LEANMarket: 48% (+10.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +101(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Perez)
Bantamweight✓
Manny Bermudez won by Submission (R2)
Bermudez 67%33% Morales
CONFIDENTMarket: 61% (+5.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +123(favors Bermudez)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Morales)