UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Saturday, January 20, 2018·Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Stipe Miocic won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Miocic 59%41% Ngannou
LEANMarket: 38% (+21.1% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +317(favors Miocic)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Miocic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Miocic)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Daniel Cormier won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cormier 70%30% Oezdemir
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-5.2% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +367(favors Cormier)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Oezdemir)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Cormier)
FeatherweightMISS
Calvin Kattar won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kattar 44%56% Burgos
LEANMarket: 38% (+5.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -170(favors Burgos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Burgos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Kattar)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Gian Villante won by Decision - Split (R3)
Villante 55%45% Barroso
LEANMarket: 61% (-6.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +30(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Barroso)
BantamweightMISS
Rob Font won by KO/TKO (R2)
Font 46%54% Almeida
TOSS-UPMarket: 49% (-2.9% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Font)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Font)
FeatherweightMISS
Kyle Bochniak won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bochniak 32%68% Davis
CONFIDENTMarket: 47% (-15.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Bochniak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Bochniak)
WelterweightHIT
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alhassan 57%43% Homasi
LEANMarket: 65% (-7.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +278(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Homasi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Homasi)
FlyweightHIT
Dustin Ortiz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ortiz 59%41% Pantoja
LEANMarket: 42% (+17.7% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +28(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Ortiz)
FeatherweightMISS
Julio Arce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Arce 43%57% Ige
LEANMarket: 58% (-14.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ige)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ige)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ige)
FeatherweightHIT
Enrique Barzola won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barzola 74%26% Bessette
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+6.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +142(favors Barzola)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Barzola)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Barzola)
LightweightHIT
Islam Makhachev won by KO/TKO (R1)
Makhachev 82%18% Tibau
STRONGMarket: 68% (+13.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors Makhachev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Tibau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Makhachev)