UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Saturday, December 16, 2017·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada·11 fights
Model: 7/11(64%)
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Main Card
WelterweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Anjos 56%44% Lawler
Over/UnderOver 69%
Under 31%Over 69%
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -21(favors Lawler)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Anjos)
FeatherweightMISS
Josh Emmett won by KO/TKO (R1)
Emmett 43%57% Lamas
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
LEANMarket: 29% (+14.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -406(favors Lamas)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Emmett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Emmett)
WelterweightHIT
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ponzinibbio 58%42% Perry
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 61% (-2.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +148(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Perry)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Teixeira 38%62% Cirkunov
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 39% (-1.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 45% historically
→Elo gap: +218(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Cirkunov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Cirkunov)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blachowicz 38%62% Cannonier
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 37% (+1.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -118(favors Cannonier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Blachowicz)
MiddleweightHIT
Julian Marquez won by Submission (R2)
Marquez 76%24% Stewart
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 74% (+2.0% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 55% historically
→Elo gap: +210(favors Marquez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Stewart)
Prelims
WelterweightMISS
Chad Laprise won by KO/TKO (R1)
Laprise 38%62% Bofando
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 57% (-19.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +80(favors Laprise)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.6(favors Bofando)
WelterweightHIT
Nordine Taleb won by KO/TKO (R1)
Taleb 57%43% Roberts
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
LEANMarket: 58% (-1.7% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +146(favors Taleb)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Taleb)
LightweightHIT
John Makdessi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makdessi 64%36% Trujillo
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 39% (+25.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Trujillo)
MiddleweightHIT
Alessio Di Chirico won by KO/TKO (R2)
Chirico 69%31% Bamgbose
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (+14.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +75(favors Chirico)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Chirico)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Chirico)
WelterweightHIT
Jordan Mein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mein 64%36% Silva
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEANMarket: 58% (+6.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Mein)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Mein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Mein)