UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Saturday, December 16, 2017·Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightMISS
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Anjos 47%53% Lawler
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Lawler)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Anjos)
FeatherweightMISS
Josh Emmett won by KO/TKO (R1)
Emmett 28%72% Lamas
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-0.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -414(favors Lamas)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Emmett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Emmett)
WelterweightHIT
Santiago Ponzinibbio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ponzinibbio 58%42% Perry
LEANMarket: 61% (-3.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +227(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Perry)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Teixeira 29%71% Cirkunov
CONFIDENTMarket: 39% (-9.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +229(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Cirkunov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Cirkunov)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jan Blachowicz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blachowicz 33%67% Cannonier
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (-3.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Cannonier)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Blachowicz)
MiddleweightHIT
Julian Marquez won by Submission (R2)
Marquez 76%24% Stewart
STRONGMarket: 74% (+1.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Marquez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Stewart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Stewart)
WelterweightHIT
Chad Laprise won by KO/TKO (R1)
Laprise 50%50% Bofando
TOSS-UPMarket: 57% (-7.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +83(favors Laprise)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.6(favors Bofando)
WelterweightHIT
Nordine Taleb won by KO/TKO (R1)
Taleb 54%46% Roberts
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-4.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Taleb)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Roberts)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Taleb)
LightweightHIT
John Makdessi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Makdessi 53%47% Trujillo
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+13.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -181(favors Trujillo)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.5(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Trujillo)
MiddleweightHIT
Alessio Di Chirico won by KO/TKO (R2)
Chirico 63%37% Bamgbose
LEANMarket: 54% (+8.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +31(favors Chirico)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Chirico)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Chirico)
WelterweightHIT
Jordan Mein won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mein 69%31% Silva
CONFIDENTMarket: 58% (+10.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -34(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Mein)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Mein)