UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum
Saturday, November 25, 2017·Shanghai, Hebei, China
Model Record: 6/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Kelvin Gastelum won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gastelum 71%29% Bisping
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-0.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -326(favors Bisping)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Gastelum)
Welterweight✓
Li Jingliang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jingliang 66%34% Ottow
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+1.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Jingliang)
Featherweight✗
Wang Guan won by Decision - Split (R3)
Guan 36%64% Caceres
LEANMarket: 43% (-7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -124(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Caceres)
Welterweight✗
Alex Garcia won by Submission (R2)
Garcia 34%66% Salikhov
CONFIDENTMarket: 33% (+1.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Garcia)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Garcia)
Featherweight✓
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Submission (R3)
Magomedsharipov 73%27% Moraes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +111(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Magomedsharipov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Magomedsharipov)
Welterweight✗
Song Kenan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kenan 48%52% Nash
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +189(favors Kenan)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Nash)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Nash)
Women's Strawweight✓
Yan Xiaonan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Xiaonan 59%41% Curran
LEANMarket: 58% (+1.5% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +228(favors Xiaonan)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.4(favors Curran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Curran)
Featherweight✓
Song Yadong won by Submission (R1)
Yadong 61%39% Kandare
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kandare)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kandare)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kandare)
Heavyweight✗
Shamil Abdurakhimov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Abdurakhimov 47%53% Sherman
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-7.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -6(favors Sherman)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Abdurakhimov)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Gina Mazany won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mazany 41%59% Yanan
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -56(favors Yanan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Yanan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Yanan)
Featherweight✗
Rolando Dy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dy 32%68% Wulijiburen
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -195(favors Wulijiburen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Dy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Dy)
Heavyweight✓
Cyril Asker won by Submission (R2)
Asker 64%36% Yaozong
LEANMarket: 69% (-4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -138(favors Yaozong)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Asker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Asker)