UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Saturday, June 10, 2017·Auckland, New Zealand
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Mark Hunt won by KO/TKO (R4)
Hunt 43%57% Lewis
LEANMarket: 44% (-0.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Lewis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Lewis)
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brunson 83%17% Kelly
STRONGMarket: 72% (+11.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -49(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Brunson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Kelly)
LightweightHIT
Dan Hooker won by KO/TKO (R2)
Hooker 65%35% Pearson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Hooker)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Pearson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ion Cutelaba won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cutelaba 65%35% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -3(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Cutelaba)
FlyweightMISS
Ben Nguyen won by Submission (R1)
Nguyen 49%51% Elliott
TOSS-UPMarket: 35% (+14.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +150(favors Nguyen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Nguyen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Elliott)
FeatherweightHIT
Alexander Volkanovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkanovski 76%24% Hirota
STRONG
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +103(favors Volkanovski)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Volkanovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Volkanovski)
LightweightHIT
Vinc Pichel won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pichel 56%44% Brown
LEANMarket: 48% (+7.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Pichel)
→Takedown rate advantage: +7.0(favors Pichel)
WelterweightHIT
Luke Jumeau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jumeau 50%50% Steele
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+11.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +90(favors Jumeau)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Steele)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Steele)
FlyweightHIT
John Moraga won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Moraga 50%50% Mokhtarian
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-12.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +26(favors Moraga)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Moraga)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Moraga)
WelterweightHIT
Zak Ottow won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ottow 79%21% Kunimoto
STRONGMarket: 75% (+4.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -78(favors Kunimoto)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Ottow)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Kunimoto)
Women's StrawweightMISS
JJ Aldrich won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Aldrich 45%55% Jeon
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -87(favors Jeon)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Aldrich)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jeon)