UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
Saturday, November 14, 2015·Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Model Record: 9/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's Bantamweight✗
Holly Holm won by KO/TKO (R2)
Holm 31%69% Rousey
CONFIDENTMarket: 8% (+23.0% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -311(favors Rousey)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Rousey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.5(favors Rousey)
Women's Strawweight✓
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jedrzejczyk 86%14% Letourneau
STRONGMarket: 92% (-6.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +126(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Letourneau)
Heavyweight✓
Mark Hunt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hunt 65%35% Silva
LEANMarket: 70% (-5.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +50(favors Hunt)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Hunt)
Middleweight✓
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 53%47% Hall
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Hall)
Heavyweight✓
Jared Rosholt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rosholt 75%25% Struve
STRONGMarket: 46% (+29.5% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Rosholt)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Rosholt)
Lightweight✓
Jake Matthews won by KO/TKO (R2)
Matthews 88%12% Arreola
STRONGMarket: 88% (+0.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +122(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Matthews)
Welterweight✗
Kyle Noke won by KO/TKO (R1)
Noke 45%55% Sobotta
LEANMarket: 39% (+6.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Noke)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Noke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Sobotta)
Light Heavyweight✓
Gian Villante won by KO/TKO (R1)
Villante 85%15% Perosh
STRONGMarket: 79% (+5.9% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Villante)
Flyweight✗
Danny Martinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martinez 46%54% Vaculik
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-5.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -111(favors Vaculik)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Vaculik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Vaculik)
Middleweight✗
Daniel Kelly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelly 33%67% Montgomery
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (+4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +206(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Kelly)
Welterweight✓
Richard Walsh won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Walsh 76%24% Kennedy
STRONG
→Elo gap: +36(favors Walsh)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Walsh)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Walsh)
Welterweight✓
James Moontasri won by KO/TKO (R1)
Moontasri 85%15% Zafir
STRONGMarket: 75% (+10.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -7(favors Zafir)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Moontasri)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Zafir)
Flyweight✓
Ben Nguyen won by Submission (R1)
Nguyen 59%41% Benoit
LEANMarket: 55% (+4.4% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +2(favors Nguyen)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Nguyen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Benoit)