UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Saturday, February 15, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✗
Jared Cannonier won by KO/TKO (R4)
Cannonier 42%58% Rodrigues
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Cannonier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Rodrigues)
Featherweight✓
Youssef Zalal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zalal 69%31% Kattar
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -113(favors Kattar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Zalal)
Middleweight✓
Edmen Shahbazyan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Shahbazyan 54%46% Budka
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +190(favors Shahbazyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.3(favors Shahbazyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Budka)
Lightweight✗
Nazim Sadykhov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sadykhov 31%69% Bonfim
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -33(favors Bonfim)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Bonfim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Sadykhov)
Middleweight✓
Andre Petroski won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petroski 62%38% Vieira
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -116(favors Vieira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Vieira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Vieira)
Featherweight✓
Jose Delgado won by KO/TKO (R1)
Delgado 54%46% Matthews
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +187(favors Delgado)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.8(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Matthews)
Women's Strawweight✗
Angela Hill won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hill 35%65% Souza
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Hill)
Flyweight✗
Rafael Estevam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Estevam 39%61% Aguilar
LEAN
→Elo gap: -77(favors Aguilar)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Estevam)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Estevam)
Welterweight✓
Gabriel Bonfim won by Submission (R2)
Bonfim 54%46% Williams
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -266(favors Williams)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Williams)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Bonfim)
Bantamweight✓
Elijah Smith won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smith 54%46% Morales
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +58(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Morales)
Heavyweight✓
Valter Walker won by Submission (R1)
Walker 52%48% Mayes
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -18(favors Mayes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Mayes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Walker)
Women's Bantamweight✓
Jacqueline Cavalcanti won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cavalcanti 74%26% Avila
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +249(favors Cavalcanti)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Cavalcanti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Avila)