UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Saturday, February 8, 2025·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Middleweight✓
Dricus Du Plessis won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Plessis 64%36% Strickland
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +270(favors Plessis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Plessis)
Women's Strawweight✓
Zhang Weili won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Weili 56%44% Suarez
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +206(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Weili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Suarez)
Heavyweight✓
Tallison Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Teixeira 59%41% Tafa
LEAN
→Elo gap: -102(favors Tafa)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Tafa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tafa)
Light Heavyweight
Crute 39%61% Bellato
LEAN
→Elo gap: -106(favors Bellato)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Bellato)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Crute)
Welterweight✓
Jake Matthews won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Matthews 59%41% Prado
LEAN
→Elo gap: +254(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Prado)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Matthews)
Featherweight✗
Gabriel Santos won by Submission (R3)
Santos 48%52% Jenkins
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -100(favors Jenkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Jenkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Santos)
Lightweight✓
Tom Nolan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nolan 58%42% Borshchev
LEAN
→Elo gap: -11(favors Borshchev)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Nolan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Borshchev)
Women's Flyweight✗
Wang Cong won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cong 44%56% Brasil
LEAN
→Elo gap: -108(favors Brasil)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Cong)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Brasil)
Bantamweight✗
Aleksandre Topuria won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Topuria 39%61% Thicknesse
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Thicknesse)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Thicknesse)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Thicknesse)
Lightweight✓
Rongzhu won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rongzhu 55%45% Steele
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -107(favors Steele)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Rongzhu)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Rongzhu)
Welterweight✗
Jonathan Micallef won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Micallef 46%54% Jousset
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -91(favors Jousset)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.7(favors Jousset)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Jousset)
Lightweight✓
Quillan Salkilld won by KO/TKO (R1)
Salkilld 53%47% Jubli
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +103(favors Salkilld)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.5(favors Jubli)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Jubli)