UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Saturday, March 14, 2015·Dallas, Texas, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✗
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Anjos 40%60% Pettis
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -10(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Pettis)
Women's Strawweight✓
Joanna Jedrzejczyk won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jedrzejczyk 51%49% Esparza
TOSS-UPMarket: 40% (+11.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +43(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Esparza)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.6(favors Esparza)
Welterweight✓
Johny Hendricks won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hendricks 82%18% Brown
STRONGMarket: 77% (+5.4% edge)
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +181(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hendricks)
Heavyweight✓
Alistair Overeem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Overeem 82%18% Nelson
STRONGMarket: 65% (+17.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +19(favors Overeem)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Overeem)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Overeem)
Flyweight✓
Henry Cejudo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cejudo 82%18% Cariaso
STRONGMarket: 83% (-1.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -64(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Cariaso)
Lightweight✓
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Pearson 86%14% Stout
STRONGMarket: 77% (+9.0% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Stout)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Stout)
Middleweight✓
Elias Theodorou won by KO/TKO (R2)
Theodorou 84%16% Narvaez
STRONGMarket: 75% (+9.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +206(favors Theodorou)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Theodorou)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Theodorou)
Lightweight✓
Beneil Dariush won by Submission (R2)
Dariush 55%45% Cruickshank
LEANMarket: 42% (+13.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Cruickshank)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Cruickshank)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Cruickshank)
Heavyweight✓
Jared Rosholt won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rosholt 88%12% Copeland
STRONGMarket: 73% (+14.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +160(favors Rosholt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Rosholt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Rosholt)
Flyweight✗
Ryan Benoit won by KO/TKO (R2)
Benoit 21%79% Pettis
STRONGMarket: 19% (+2.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -228(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Pettis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Pettis)
Lightweight✓
Joe Duffy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Duffy 58%42% Lindsey
LEAN
→Elo gap: +220(favors Duffy)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors Lindsey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Lindsey)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Germaine de Randamie won by KO/TKO (R2)
Randamie 45%55% Pacheco
LEANMarket: 42% (+3.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +46(favors Randamie)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Randamie)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pacheco)