UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Saturday, November 8, 2014·Uberlandia, Minas Gerais, Brazil
Model Record: 9/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Ovince Saint Preux won by KO/TKO (R1)
Preux 64%36% Rua
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Rua)
Welterweight✓
Warlley Alves won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alves 78%22% Jouban
STRONGMarket: 68% (+10.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Jouban)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Jouban)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Alves)
Welterweight✓
Claudio Silva won by Decision - Split (R3)
Silva 57%43% Edwards
LEANMarket: 37% (+20.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +94(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Silva)
Welterweight✓
Dhiego Lima won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lima 70%30% Oliveira
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -128(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Oliveira)
Women's Strawweight✗
Juliana Lima won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lima 50%50% Nunes
TOSS-UPMarket: 42% (+8.2% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Lima)
Featherweight✓
Diego Rivas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rivas 52%48% Perez
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (-0.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Perez)
Middleweight✓
Caio Magalhaes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Magalhaes 69%31% Smith
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+2.8% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +119(favors Magalhaes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Smith)
Lightweight✓
Leandro Silva won by Submission (R1)
Silva 58%42% Brenneman
LEANMarket: 60% (-2.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Brenneman)
Bantamweight✓
Thomas Almeida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Almeida 77%23% Gorman
STRONGMarket: 74% (+2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +46(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Gorman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gorman)
Welterweight✓
Colby Covington won by Submission (R3)
Covington 84%16% Silva
STRONG
→Elo gap: +283(favors Covington)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.2(favors Covington)