UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Wednesday, July 16, 2014·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Donald Cerrone won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cerrone 67%33% Miller
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +67(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Cerrone)
Lightweight✓
Edson Barboza won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barboza 63%37% Dunham
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +114(favors Barboza)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Dunham)
Welterweight✓
Rick Story won by Submission (R2)
Story 66%34% Mafra
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +366(favors Story)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Story)
Lightweight✓
Joe Proctor won by KO/TKO (R2)
Proctor 60%40% Salas
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +49(favors Proctor)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Salas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Salas)
Flyweight✓
John Lineker won by KO/TKO (R3)
Lineker 65%35% Ozkilic
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +174(favors Lineker)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Lineker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.3(favors Ozkilic)
Featherweight✗
Lucas Martins won by KO/TKO (R3)
Martins 46%54% White
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: -9.3(favors White)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors White)
Lightweight✓
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tibau 69%31% Healy
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +321(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Healy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Tibau)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Leslie Smith won by KO/TKO (R1)
Smith 38%62% Duke
LEAN
→Elo gap: -78(favors Duke)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Duke)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Duke)
Bantamweight✓
Aljamain Sterling won by KO/TKO (R3)
Sterling 64%36% Viana
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -26(favors Viana)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Viana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Sterling)
Lightweight✓
Yosdenis Cedeno won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cedeno 63%37% Sanders
LEAN
→Elo gap: -68(favors Sanders)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Cedeno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sanders)
Women's Strawweight✗
Claudia Gadelha won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gadelha 49%51% Lahdemaki
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lahdemaki)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lahdemaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lahdemaki)