UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Saturday, December 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 10/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Flyweight✓
Alexandre Pantoja won by Submission (R2)
Pantoja 59%41% Asakura
LEAN
→Elo gap: +650(favors Pantoja)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Pantoja)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.9(favors Pantoja)
Welterweight✓
Shavkat Rakhmonov won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Rakhmonov 53%47% Garry
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Rakhmonov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Garry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Rakhmonov)
Heavyweight✓
Ciryl Gane won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gane 62%38% Volkov
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors Gane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Gane)
Featherweight✓
Bryce Mitchell won by KO/TKO (R3)
Mitchell 85%15% Gracie
STRONG
→Elo gap: +363(favors Mitchell)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Gracie)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Mitchell)
Featherweight✗
Dooho Choi won by KO/TKO (R3)
Choi 45%55% Landwehr
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -153(favors Landwehr)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Landwehr)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Landwehr)
Light Heavyweight✗
Dominick Reyes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Reyes 49%51% Smith
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +57(favors Reyes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Smith)
Welterweight✗
Vicente Luque won by Submission (R1)
Luque 44%56% Gorimbo
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +117(favors Luque)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Luque)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Gorimbo)
Featherweight✓
Movsar Evloev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Evloev 65%35% Sterling
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -122(favors Sterling)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Evloev)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Evloev)
Welterweight✗
Bryan Battle won by Decision - Split (R3)
Battle 38%62% Brown
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -149(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Battle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Battle)
Catch Weight✓
Eryk Anders won by KO/TKO (R2)
Anders 53%47% Weidman
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -171(favors Weidman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Anders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Anders)
Flyweight✓
Joshua Van won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Van 67%33% Durden
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -15(favors Durden)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Van)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Durden)
Welterweight✓
Michael Chiesa won by Submission (R3)
Chiesa 58%42% Griffin
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Chiesa)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Chiesa)
Lightweight✓
Chase Hooper won by Submission (R1)
Hooper 66%34% Guida
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +298(favors Hooper)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Hooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Hooper)
Heavyweight✓
Kennedy Nzechukwu won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nzechukwu 59%41% Brzeski
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +283(favors Nzechukwu)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Brzeski)