UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
Saturday, March 1, 2014·Macau, China
Model Record: 6/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kim 56%44% Hathaway
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +60(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Kim)
WelterweightHIT
Zhang Lipeng won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lipeng 51%49% Wang
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Wang)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Wang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wang)
HeavyweightHIT
Matt Mitrione won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mitrione 61%39% Jordan
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Jordan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Jordan)
FeatherweightHIT
Hatsu Hioki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hioki 74%26% Menjivar
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +35(favors Hioki)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Menjivar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Hioki)
LightweightMISS
Yui Chul Nam won by Decision - Split (R3)
Nam 33%67% Tokudome
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +4(favors Nam)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Tokudome)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Tokudome)
BantamweightHIT
Vaughan Lee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lee 63%37% Phan
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Phan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Lee)
WelterweightHIT
Anying Wang won by KO/TKO (R1)
Wang 54%46% Cheng
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Cheng)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Cheng)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cheng)
FeatherweightMISS
Mark Eddiva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Eddiva 46%54% Tuerxun
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tuerxun)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tuerxun)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tuerxun)