UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Wednesday, January 15, 2014·Duluth, Georgia, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Luke Rockhold won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rockhold 45%55% Philippou
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -367(favors Philippou)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Philippou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Philippou)
MiddleweightHIT
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 69%31% Larkin
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +189(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Tavares)
BantamweightHIT
TJ Dillashaw won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dillashaw 68%32% Easton
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +154(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Dillashaw)
MiddleweightMISS
Yoel Romero won by KO/TKO (R3)
Romero 45%55% Brunson
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Romero)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Brunson)
FlyweightMISS
John Moraga won by Decision - Split (R3)
Moraga 46%54% Ortiz
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +72(favors Moraga)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Ortiz)
FeatherweightHIT
Cole Miller won by Submission (R2)
Miller 70%30% Sicilia
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Sicilia)
LightweightHIT
Ramsey Nijem won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nijem 75%25% Edwards
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +19(favors Nijem)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Nijem)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Nijem)
LightweightHIT
Elias Silverio won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silverio 71%29% Vallie-Flagg
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -37(favors Vallie-Flagg)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Vallie-Flagg)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Silverio)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevor Smith won by Decision - Split (R3)
Smith 79%21% Houston
STRONG
→Elo gap: +55(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Smith)
FlyweightHIT
Louis Smolka won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Smolka 55%45% Ozkilic
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -75(favors Ozkilic)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Ozkilic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Ozkilic)
LightweightMISS
Vinc Pichel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pichel 41%59% Whiteley
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Whiteley)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Whiteley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Whiteley)
LightweightHIT
Beneil Dariush won by Submission (R1)
Dariush 54%46% Brenneman
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +76(favors Dariush)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Brenneman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.1(favors Brenneman)