UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Saturday, August 31, 2013·Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightMISS
Anthony Pettis won by Submission (R1)
Pettis 44%56% Henderson
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -192(favors Henderson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Henderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Pettis)
HeavyweightHIT
Josh Barnett won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barnett 54%46% Mir
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +208(favors Barnett)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Barnett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Mir)
FeatherweightHIT
Chad Mendes won by KO/TKO (R3)
Mendes 70%30% Guida
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Mendes)
HeavyweightHIT
Ben Rothwell won by KO/TKO (R3)
Rothwell 63%37% Vera
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -50(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Rothwell)
FeatherweightHIT
Dustin Poirier won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Poirier 61%39% Koch
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Poirier)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Poirier)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Poirier)
LightweightHIT
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tibau 53%47% Varner
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Varner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.2(favors Varner)
FlyweightHIT
Tim Elliott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elliott 79%21% Gaudinot
STRONG
→Elo gap: -23(favors Gaudinot)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Elliott)
WelterweightMISS
Hyun Gyu Lim won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lim 49%51% Krauss
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +57(favors Lim)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Lim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Krauss)
BantamweightMISS
Chico Camus won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Camus 40%60% Kang
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Camus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Kang)
HeavyweightMISS
Soa Palelei won by KO/TKO (R3)
Palelei 48%52% Krylov
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -92(favors Krylov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Palelei)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Palelei)
LightweightMISS
Al Iaquinta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Iaquinta 40%60% Couture
LEAN
→Elo gap: -52(favors Couture)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Couture)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Couture)
MiddleweightHIT
Magnus Cedenblad won by Submission (R1)
Cedenblad 59%41% Hamman
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Cedenblad)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Hamman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Hamman)