The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Saturday, April 13, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Bantamweight✓
Urijah Faber won by Submission (R4)
Faber 53%47% Jorgensen
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +237(favors Faber)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Jorgensen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Jorgensen)
Middleweight✗
Kelvin Gastelum won by Decision - Split (R3)
Gastelum 49%51% Hall
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hall)
Women's Bantamweight✗
Cat Zingano won by KO/TKO (R3)
Zingano 45%55% Tate
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tate)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tate)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tate)
Heavyweight✓
Travis Browne won by KO/TKO (R1)
Browne 54%46% Gonzaga
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Gonzaga)
Middleweight✓
Robert McDaniel won by Submission (R3)
McDaniel 51%49% Smith
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Smith)
Middleweight✓
Josh Samman won by KO/TKO (R2)
Samman 59%41% Casey
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Casey)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Casey)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Casey)
Middleweight✗
Luke Barnatt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barnatt 50%50% Hart
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Hart)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Hart)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hart)
Middleweight✗
Dylan Andrews won by KO/TKO (R1)
Andrews 41%59% Quinlan
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Quinlan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Quinlan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Quinlan)
Middleweight✓
Clint Hester won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hester 55%45% Marunde
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Marunde)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Marunde)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Marunde)
Featherweight✓
Cole Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 59%41% Palaszewski
LEAN
→Elo gap: +27(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Miller)
Featherweight✓
Maximo Blanco won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blanco 59%41% Sicilia
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -36(favors Sicilia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Sicilia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Sicilia)
Featherweight✗
Daniel Pineda won by Submission (R1)
Pineda 39%61% Lawrence
LEAN
→Elo gap: -78(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Lawrence)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Pineda)