UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
Saturday, March 2, 2013·Saitama, Japan
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✗
Wanderlei Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 40%60% Stann
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -159(favors Stann)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Stann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Silva)
Heavyweight✓
Mark Hunt won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hunt 53%47% Struve
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -155(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Hunt)
Lightweight✓
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Split (R3)
Sanchez 67%33% Gomi
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Gomi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Sanchez)
Middleweight✓
Yushin Okami won by Decision - Split (R3)
Okami 67%33% Lombard
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +269(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Lombard)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lombard)
Featherweight✗
Rani Yahya won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yahya 46%54% Hirota
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +23(favors Yahya)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Yahya)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Yahya)
Welterweight✓
Dong Hyun Kim won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kim 52%48% Bahadurzada
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Bahadurzada)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Kim)
Middleweight✓
Brad Tavares won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tavares 67%33% Fukuda
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +148(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Fukuda)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Fukuda)
Bantamweight✗
Takeya Mizugaki won by Decision - Split (R3)
Mizugaki 45%55% Caraway
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Caraway)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Mizugaki)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Caraway)
Lightweight✓
Kazuki Tokudome won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tokudome 50%50% Marcello
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +19(favors Tokudome)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.8(favors Marcello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Marcello)
Bantamweight
Caceres 62%38% Kang
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +202(favors Caceres)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Caceres)
Welterweight✗
Hyun Gyu Lim won by KO/TKO (R2)
Lim 49%51% Guimaraes
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -44(favors Guimaraes)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.2(favors Guimaraes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Guimaraes)