UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Friday, December 14, 2012·Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia
Model Record: 5/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Lightweight✓
Ross Pearson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Pearson 67%33% Sotiropoulos
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -175(favors Sotiropoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Pearson)
Welterweight✗
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 47%53% Scott
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Scott)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Scott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Scott)
Lightweight✓
Norman Parke won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parke 53%47% Fletcher
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Fletcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Fletcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fletcher)
Middleweight✗
Hector Lombard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lombard 24%76% Palhares
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -269(favors Palhares)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Palhares)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Lombard)
Featherweight✓
Chad Mendes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Mendes 69%31% Meza
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Mendes)
Light Heavyweight
Pokrajac 41%59% Beltran
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -51(favors Beltran)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Beltran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Beltran)
Welterweight✓
Mike Pierce won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pierce 55%45% Baczynski
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +51(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Pierce)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Pierce)
Welterweight✗
Ben Alloway won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alloway 39%61% Rodriguez
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
Lightweight✗
Mike Wilkinson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wilkinson 37%63% Loughnane
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Loughnane)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Loughnane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Loughnane)
Light Heavyweight✓
Cody Donovan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Donovan 63%37% Penner
LEAN
→Elo gap: +91(favors Donovan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Penner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Penner)