UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight✓
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 72%28% Bonnar
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +613(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Bonnar)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Bonnar)
Heavyweight✗
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira won by Submission (R2)
Nogueira 49%51% Herman
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +331(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Herman)
Light Heavyweight✓
Glover Teixeira won by KO/TKO (R2)
Teixeira 63%37% Maldonado
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +158(favors Teixeira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Maldonado)
Welterweight✓
Jon Fitch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fitch 70%30% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +180(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Fitch)
Light Heavyweight✓
Phil Davis won by Submission (R2)
Davis 74%26% Prado
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +340(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Davis)
Welterweight✓
Demian Maia won by Submission (R1)
Maia 60%40% Story
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Story)
Featherweight✓
Rony Jason won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jason 58%42% Sicilia
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Sicilia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Sicilia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sicilia)
Lightweight✓
Gleison Tibau won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tibau 68%32% Trinaldo
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Tibau)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Trinaldo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Tibau)
Featherweight✓
Diego Brandao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brandao 64%36% Gambino
LEAN
→Elo gap: +88(favors Brandao)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Brandao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Brandao)
Welterweight✓
Sergio Moraes won by Submission (R3)
Moraes 59%41% Forte
LEAN
→Elo gap: -85(favors Forte)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Moraes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Forte)
Middleweight✓
Chris Camozzi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Camozzi 73%27% Cane
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +235(favors Camozzi)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Cane)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Cane)
Lightweight✗
Cristiano Marcello won by Decision - Split (R3)
Marcello 45%55% Madadi
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -238(favors Madadi)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.8(favors Marcello)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.0(favors Madadi)